A question that is on the mind of many people is, are we headed for a recession? I’m going to give an answer that may shock you at first…yes. Before you panic, the answer is always yes because our economic system works in a cycle. We will never be absolved from recessions. There is a sense that there will always be a recession out ahead of us.
Is gold or silver a good investment for your portfolio? This is a question we receive with some regularity, especially when prices are going up. The not so favorable answer is it depends. Every situation is unique so you want to reach out to your advisor, or you can reach out to us here at North Main Financial Group, to see if this is the right move for you.
Here are three things to remember:
One of the questions we receive a lot at North Main Financial Group is, “How do I get started with financial planning?” That’s usually followed up with questions about 401Ks, investing in the stock market, saving for college, insurance needs…the list goes on. It’s a big, broad question which can’t be answered in a few hundred words here. However, there are a few things to think about as you think about putting a financial plan in place and possibly consider consulting with a financial advisor.
Many of you have been watching the stock market over the last several months and it’s no surprise that’s it’s been quite a rollercoaster. In fact, if you think about it in terms of being on a boat and riding the waves of the ocean, it can make you quite seasick. There were huge negative movements in March of this year and since then, it’s almost been a V out when you think of it graphically. In fact, the market has gotten pretty close to where we were before the effects of COVID-19. So, what does that mean? It means a whole lot of things but here are a few key thoughts.
In recent months, the ups and downs of the stock market might feel more like a roller coaster ride which is enough to upset anyone’s stomach. While we are all looking for those green arrows, there can be opportunity in the red arrows. In fact, when we’re going through times of extreme stock market movements we are often asked, ‘how do I invest in a down market?” There is no blanket answer to that as everyone’s situation is unique. However, here are a couple points you may want to keep in mind:
There have been several different dynamics we have observed, and of which we have lived, over the last 20 years since North Main Financial Group has been in business. We had the Internet boom, and then bubble, and then the bursting of the bubble at the end of the 1990s and into the early 2000s. We then had what some would describe as a real estate bubble happening from 2005 to about 2007. Then we had the economic crisis of 2008 and 2009 and the subsequent recovery since then. We've seen a lot of things over the last couple of decades, some of them good and some of them not so good.
Volatility is an intrinsic characteristic of the stock market. When you think about your financial plan, it’s important to have a solid understanding of your goals and situation so you can think through how a volatile market may affect your situation. The volatility of the market over the last few months may have made you take notice but it’s not a time to panic.
You may have been watching business shows or the nightly news in recent weeks and seen quite a bit of negative volatility in the stock market for the first time in a collection of months. We had some negative volatility earlier this year, but it seemed to dissipate over the summer. Fast forward to October and we’ve seen the negative volatility pick up in recent weeks. If you are tracking your personal investments, on some level, you’ve seen a significant amount of negative volatility. So, what do you do when that happens?
If you’ve been watching the stock market the last few weeks you’re probably asking, “what is going on?” The stock market has had some movement that we haven’t seen for several months and in some cases, years. It’s been a rather tumultuous couple weeks and when that happens, it creates a certain amount of anxiety.